Political-Raft
0x761632521dc06585fd837ee78919154c215b6a1a
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$8.17
Total PnL
$-2.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in February?
3 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$3.10
$0.10
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.03
$0.03
- NO
Will BNB reach $1,200 in February?
2 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
China wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
5 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- NO
USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
5 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will $BTC reach 70k before September?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?$2.02May 14, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $16 in February?$3.00Feb 6, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$2.14Feb 6, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$3.19Feb 6, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB reach $1,200 in February?$2.00Feb 6, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$2.00Jan 15, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$3.00Jan 15, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$1.03Jan 15, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.06Jan 15, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$1.14Jan 15, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$1.22Jan 15, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$1.00Dec 18, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$1.00Oct 16, 02:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $2000 in September?$1.00Sep 24, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.01Sep 24, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?$0.12Sep 24, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.12Sep 24, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMIran military response before October?$0.13Sep 24, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4$0.16Sep 24, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$0.21Sep 24, 01:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $1.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 01:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 07:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.