Demanding-Shear
0x761e59e65ea0817af15e6579ffbfceb855726b73
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$2.22
Total PnL
$-23.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
1 shares @ 95.9¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.21
$0.01
- NO
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 28?
580 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.16
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,200 and $4,300 on October 20?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 15?
243 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
146 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-9.78
- NO
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.15
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 53 million views on day 4?$160.16Jun 3, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$10.24Jun 3, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 53 million views on day 4?$160.01Jun 3, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?$87.09Jun 1, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$82.08Jun 1, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?$87.00May 31, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$82.00May 31, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$168.17May 31, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$168.01May 5, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 27?$168.16May 5, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 27?$168.00Apr 26, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?$169.16Apr 26, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?$169.00Apr 21, 02:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$38.07Apr 21, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$130.71Apr 21, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$130.00Apr 15, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$38.00Apr 15, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$168.16Apr 15, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$168.00Apr 9, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$1.03Apr 9, 08:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $132.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 08:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 18:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".