0x762287cde111bfbf163c847a1b21bfcf0b7c1630
0x762287cde111bfbf163c847a1b21bfcf0b7c1630
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
103
Open notional
$79.67
Total PnL
$-199.20
Realised
$21.06
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 103- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-14?
41 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$40.98
$15.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
12 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$12.00
$9.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
7 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$6.73
$5.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
6 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$5.68
$4.26
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
6 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$5.67
$4.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
5 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$4.72
$3.64
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$3.89
$3.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 12AM ET
10737 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.74
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 14?
448 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-35.82
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$1.13Apr 22, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$2.64Apr 22, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$3.00Apr 22, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$0.54Apr 22, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$3.41Apr 22, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$2.28Apr 22, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$3.00Apr 22, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$4.20Apr 22, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$1.67Apr 22, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$1.33Apr 22, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$2.31Apr 22, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$1.89Apr 22, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$0.88Apr 22, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$0.46Apr 22, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$1.67Apr 22, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$3.00Apr 17, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$4.80Apr 17, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$1.08Apr 17, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$1.33Apr 17, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$0.58Apr 17, 17:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 01:17 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 19:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.