Medium-Exception
0x76285431016c80554a82126713e2e011a36f921b
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$40.28
Total PnL
$-287.79
Realised
$344.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
278 shares @ 18.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.28
$-9.72
- YES
Will Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
1433 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
770 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-77.00
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?
622 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?
567 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.20
- YES
Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?
337 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
239 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- OVER
O/U 1.5 Rounds
152 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 675-699 times Jan 3-Jan 10?
108 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 110 seats?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by April 30?$10.00Apr 5, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?$10.00Mar 21, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by April 30?$10.00Mar 18, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 110 seats?$10.00Mar 17, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$20.00Mar 16, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$100.00Mar 15, 23:09 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by March 31?$717.33Mar 15, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$700.00Mar 2, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by April 30?$5.00Mar 1, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fedez & Marco Masini win Sanremo 2026?$442.75Mar 1, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fedez & Marco Masini win Sanremo 2026?$300.00Feb 26, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$50.00Feb 20, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by April 30?$50.00Feb 19, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$182.42Feb 19, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?$10.20Feb 15, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?$58.48Feb 14, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$2.85Feb 13, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$5.00Feb 13, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?$30.00Feb 13, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?$7.79Feb 13, 08:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $67.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 07:26 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 5, 15:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".