Amused-Crook
0x762a780fbb90ed8dc8d22182e279ad695d4e0322
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$0.21
Total PnL
$-794.66
Realised
$26.95
Win rate
89%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 29?
20 shares @ 35.0¢·now 1.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.20
$-6.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 29?
20 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.01
$-3.59
- YES
Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?
606 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-48.16
- NO
Claude 4.7 released by April 17?
604 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-57.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 30?
590 shares @ 67.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-396.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 10?
310 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?
200 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-21.10
- NO
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?
142 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 27?
120 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 8?
110 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 29?$3.64Jul 29, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 29?$3.36Jul 29, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 29?$1.90Jul 28, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 29?$3.60Jul 28, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 29?$0.15Jul 28, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 29?$0.15Jul 28, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 29?$1.20Jul 28, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?$1.15Jul 28, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?$0.25Jul 28, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?$1.60Jul 28, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?$3.40Jul 28, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?$2.60Jul 28, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?$4.50Jul 28, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?$6.00Jul 28, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?$8.34Jul 28, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?$9.46Jul 28, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?$1.00Jul 28, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?$9.68Jul 28, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?$0.76Jul 28, 03:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?$8.29Jul 28, 03:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
89% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 16:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 03:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.