Generous-Fame
0x7638ef5f637e069cdca35388259bf7a939d59e82
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
109
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.7K
Realised
$308.80
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 109- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 24?
1453 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 18?
1246 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-96.83
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11AM ET
1204 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-105.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 19?
1159 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 6?
1118 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 26?
1072 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-87.29
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 1PM ET
971 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-179.81
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
963 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 11?
952 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 2?$85.86Jul 2, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 2?$95.61Jul 2, 09:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-29?$41.07Jun 29, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?$9.99Jun 29, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 29?$10.68Jun 29, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 29?$3.60Jun 29, 13:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:12 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.72Jun 26, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.30Jun 25, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.29Jun 25, 20:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $104.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 22:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.