0x7639d16e9ce57dbdc42afcc9f6f1ef7a8f8c798c
0x7639d16e9ce57dbdc42afcc9f6f1ef7a8f8c798c
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$115.54
Total PnL
$-5.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Bill O’Dea win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?
6 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$6.21
$0.25
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win Manhattan in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
6 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$6.12
$0.09
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win Brooklyn in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
6 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$6.10
$0.07
- NO
Will Mussab Ali win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?
6 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$6.08
$0.12
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win 2 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
6 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$6.08
$0.05
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win 1 borough in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
6 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$6.04
$0.01
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win 0 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$6.04
$0.01
- NO
Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$6.03
$0.01
- NO
"The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore 90+
6 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$6.01
$0.03
- NO
"The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore 60–69
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$5.99
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on November 5?$4.50Nov 5, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $3,500 on November 5?$4.50Nov 5, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $102,000 on November 5?$4.50Nov 5, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 5, 7AM ET$4.56Nov 5, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6AM ET$4.47Nov 5, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 5, 6AM ET$4.47Nov 5, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 5, 7AM ET$4.47Nov 5, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 5, 6AM ET$4.47Nov 5, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6AM ET$4.47Nov 5, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 5, 3AM ET$4.50Nov 5, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 5, 3AM ET$4.45Nov 5, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12AM ET$5.78Nov 5, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - November 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$5.85Nov 5, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - November 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$5.73Nov 5, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12AM ET$5.72Nov 5, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025$6.11Nov 5, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025$6.12Nov 5, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUT Martin Skyhawks vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels$6.00Nov 5, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hinge Health (HNGE) beat quarterly earnings?$5.97Nov 5, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hinge Health (HNGE) beat quarterly earnings?$5.97Nov 4, 21:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $5.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 23:55 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 15:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".