Bulky-Polish
0x76482d12fa0e8ba2aab35e028284aeeab8cb9752
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.0K
Realised
$-784.45
Win rate
28%
198 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Paraguay?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
469 shares @ 51.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-243.00
- ENGLAND
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
463 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
298 shares @ 67.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- OVER
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
193 shares @ 41.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
184 shares @ 44.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-81.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
150 shares @ 53.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-80.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
150 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-81.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
149 shares @ 54.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-81.00
- DOWN
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
149 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.97
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$0.00Aug 2, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$5.14Aug 2, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub Mensik$5.13Jul 30, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLFluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5$10.90Jul 30, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5$9.03Jul 30, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Marcos Giron vs Cruz Hewitt$5.21Jul 28, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$17.24Jul 27, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$10.29Jul 27, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.80Jul 27, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$4.70Jul 27, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$1.57Jul 27, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$1.35Jul 27, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$1.31Jul 27, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$3.72Jul 27, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$1.14Jul 27, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$2.94Jul 27, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$3.73Jul 27, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$3.23Jul 27, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$3.35Jul 27, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$2.99Jul 27, 01:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
67/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
28% win rate over 198 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
198 closed markets, 28% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 01:12 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 23:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 198 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.