Fixed-Hearsay
0x764adde7cc34ef672ed785eca6d30380a5d546a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$1.6K
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?
46899 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
6154 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?
5075 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-65.98
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
3082 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-337.50
- YES
Will Pedri win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
3067 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-83.04
- YES
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
2297 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
1519 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-547.00
- LOPES
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopes
828 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2025$0.00
$-339.50
- YES
Will Ferrari have the highest Constructor score at the Chinese GP?
44 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$20.00Sep 22, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$20.00Jul 30, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$20.00Jul 30, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$20.00Jul 30, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$20.00Jul 30, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?$101.50Jul 24, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?$100.00Jul 20, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?$31.95Jul 20, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedri win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$17.46May 14, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedri win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$0.54May 11, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedri win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$11.00Apr 23, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$253.61Apr 23, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$412.26Apr 21, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedri win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$5.00Apr 17, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopes$210.00Apr 13, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLMichael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblett$218.93Apr 13, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMichael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblett$131.49Apr 13, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLAlexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopes$126.34Apr 13, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopes$259.00Apr 13, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$264.16Apr 13, 03:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $100.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 17:34 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 22, 16:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".