Squeaky-Molecule
0x764ca1fa1ec3ea979460141ff88edf578b81f3a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-686.90
Realised
$-74.32
Win rate
10%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 16?
48 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
46 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-38.61
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 16?
43 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 16?
41 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
35 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-34.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
35 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-33.42
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
35 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-25.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on April 16?
34 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.92
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
30 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-25.71
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
30 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.76
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$0.11Jun 24, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$0.11Jun 24, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$0.11Jun 24, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$0.12Jun 24, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$0.14Jun 24, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 16?$0.16Jun 24, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$0.20Jun 24, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$0.38Jun 24, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$0.44Jun 24, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$0.82Apr 17, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$1.44Apr 17, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.95Apr 17, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.36Apr 17, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$0.78Apr 17, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$1.40Apr 17, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$0.67Apr 17, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$1.36Apr 17, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$0.85Apr 17, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.36Apr 17, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$1.95Apr 17, 18:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
10% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 15:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 11:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.