Deficient-Avalanche-Victim
0x76550142603dff637c6c2a8ad52bbb8fddb20efe
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
50
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-583.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C or below on March 12?
9419 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-38.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on March 10?
6667 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-13.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 10?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 10?
4000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 11?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or higher on March 10?
3332 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on March 12?
2785 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 70°F or higher on March 10?
2571 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or below on March 11?
2403 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-7.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 11?
2211 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-27.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 36°F or higher on March 16?$5.78Mar 14, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C or higher on March 15?$8.98Mar 14, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C or higher on March 14?$2.42Mar 14, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C or higher on March 14?$0.74Mar 14, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C or higher on March 14?$0.04Mar 14, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C or higher on March 14?$1.60Mar 14, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C or higher on March 14?$0.24Mar 14, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or higher on March 14?$2.73Mar 14, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C or higher on March 14?$4.37Mar 14, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or higher on March 14?$0.16Mar 14, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or higher on March 14?$0.04Mar 14, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or higher on March 14?$0.24Mar 14, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or higher on March 14?$0.24Mar 14, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or higher on March 14?$0.24Mar 14, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or higher on March 14?$0.24Mar 14, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or higher on March 14?$0.04Mar 14, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or higher on March 14?$0.80Mar 14, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or higher on March 14?$0.24Mar 14, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or higher on March 14?$0.47Mar 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or higher on March 14?$0.08Mar 13, 23:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 11:00 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 19:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.