Honest-Basil
0x765c3441b5161683541bbbf7c0bc7d71b3d9dbb6
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$122.00
Total PnL
$21.30
Realised
$67.95
Win rate
100%
85 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
78 shares @ 1.1¢·now 10.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.29
$7.39
- YES
Will 950 to 999 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
233 shares @ 0.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$5.83
$5.12
- YES
Curaçao leading at halftime?
180 shares @ 3.1¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$5.48
$-0.03
- YES
Will Mohamed Salah record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
82 shares @ 1.1¢·now 5.5¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$4.50
$3.60
- YES
Will Steve Erceg be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
161 shares @ 0.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.95
$3.62
- YES
Will Cape Verde be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?
194 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.30
$0.68
- YES
Will Amanda Burrows win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
518 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.6¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$3.11
$2.05
- YES
Will Shelley Hughes win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
291 shares @ 0.3¢·now 1.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.91
$2.04
- YES
Will Caleb Malhotra be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
389 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$2.72
$1.96
- YES
Will Scotland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
82 shares @ 1.1¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$2.50
$1.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMExact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia?$7.50Jun 12, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMHamilton Tiger-Cats vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers$4.59Jun 12, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill OPEC crude oil production be above 18 million barrels per day in May?$4.42Jun 11, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.61Jun 10, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?$0.60Jun 10, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?$0.90Jun 10, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XLG win Valorant Masters London 2026?$1.06Jun 10, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Monte qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?$1.09Jun 10, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached by June 30?$0.90Jun 10, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 2 - 0 France?$0.24Jun 10, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$0.37Jun 10, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ecuador finish last in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$0.36Jun 10, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance attend NATO Summit?$0.55Jun 10, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?$0.90Jun 10, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 28 and 31 inclusive?$0.90Jun 10, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?$2.40Jun 10, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oracle Q4 Remaining Performance Obligations be above $500B?$0.96Jun 10, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Rent" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$0.90Jun 10, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Japan (-2.5)$0.11Jun 10, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.55Jun 10, 19:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $0.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 13:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 04:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 85 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.