Honest-Basil
0x765c3441b5161683541bbbf7c0bc7d71b3d9dbb6
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$162.47
Total PnL
$53.12
Realised
$79.48
Win rate
100%
87 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Steve Erceg be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
80 shares @ 0.2¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.45
$8.29
- YES
Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $1.50 on December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 6.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.65
$5.55
- YES
Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
74 shares @ 1.5¢·now 6.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.64
$3.54
- YES
Will SpaceXAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
163 shares @ 0.6¢·now 2.3¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.67
$2.69
- YES
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be at least $1,284,000 on September 30?
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 3.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.40
$2.30
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in August?
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 3.1¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$3.15
$2.05
- YES
Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election?
98 shares @ 1.1¢·now 2.9¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$2.85
$1.75
- YES
Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
157 shares @ 0.7¢·now 1.7¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.67
$1.57
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by July 31?
291 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.62
$-0.23
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
92 shares @ 1.2¢·now 2.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.48
$1.37
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 24?$0.00Jul 28, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMCD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez: O/U 0.5$0.00Jul 28, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mclaren Mastercard achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$0.00Jul 28, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Juan Ayuso win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?$0.00Jul 28, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: CD Unión La Calera (-1.5)$0.00Jul 28, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMFC Zbrojovka Brno vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 5.5$0.00Jul 28, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 24?$0.00Jul 28, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMGAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 0.5$0.00Jul 28, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMCruzeiro EC vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 0.5$0.00Jul 28, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week?$0.00Jul 28, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 25?$0.00Jul 28, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 25?$0.00Jul 28, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMHJK Helsinki vs. Turun Palloseura: O/U 0.5$0.00Jul 28, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$0.00Jul 28, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill FK Austria Wien win on 2026-07-26?$0.00Jul 28, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 25?$0.00Jul 28, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 26?$0.00Jul 28, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMFK Fakel Voronezh vs. FK Dinamo Makhachkala: O/U 5.5$0.00Jul 28, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMFK Mladost Lucani vs. FK Novi Pazar: O/U 5.5$0.00Jul 28, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Disruptive" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$0.00Jul 28, 12:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 87 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
87 closed markets, 100% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 12:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 12:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 87 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.