Grounded-Ozone
0x765d45a4f612c1f06b2834899c37b68e76aa8efb
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$125.00
Total PnL
$-83.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- SPAIN
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
125 shares @ 58.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$125.00
$51.36
- NO
Will Canton launch a token in 2025?
131 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Ethereum above $2,300 on March 7?
120 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2025$0.00
$-74.40
- YES
September temperature increase by less than 1.17°C?
103 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2025$0.00
$-0.41
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- SPAIN
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
100 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-19.25
- OVER
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5
60 shares @ 33.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.25
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times October 18-25?
45 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2024$0.00
$-0.18
- NO
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.14
- NO
Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
20 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.16
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5$2.02Jul 19, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$49.94Jul 19, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$23.70Jul 19, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5)$19.25Jul 19, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5$4.09Jul 18, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5$12.26Jul 18, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. England: O/U 8.5$13.99Jul 18, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 8.5$14.26Jul 18, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 8.5$8.74Jul 18, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: England (-2.5)$5.86Jul 18, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: England (-2.5)$0.93Jul 18, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: England (-2.5)$117.45Jul 18, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: England (-2.5)$20.97Jul 18, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: England (-2.5)$1.11Jul 18, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: England (-2.5)$46.85Jul 18, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$41.72Jul 18, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: O/U 3.5$20.25Jul 11, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$27.80May 7, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMOver $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$53.57Nov 1, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$33.75Oct 30, 12:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $20.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 08:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 20:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.