Alarming-Sight
0x766ebd328dbb3ed00738ab2f994a27e4309a7a88
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$51.52
Total PnL
$-133.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
831 shares @ 9.6¢·now 6.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$51.52
$-28.47
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
208 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
95 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-19.98
- YES
Will LA CANCIÓN be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
61 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?
57 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
39 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.48
- YES
Will DÁKITI be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
36 shares @ 70.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10.48Mar 19, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?$50.00Mar 19, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?$32.53Mar 19, 18:48 UTC
- REDEEMSeahawks vs. Patriots$27.94Feb 10, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$19.00Feb 8, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DÁKITI be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?$25.00Feb 7, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?$5.00Feb 7, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LA CANCIÓN be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?$25.00Feb 7, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$19.98Jan 10, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?$153.98Jan 7, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?$30.00Jan 7, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?$153.00Oct 15, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$10.00Oct 9, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$10.00Oct 9, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?$72.00Jun 17, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$73.00Jun 17, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$304.01Jun 13, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saquon Barkley rush for 117 or more yards in Super Bowl LIX?$0.00Jun 13, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Patrick Mahomes record 25 or more completions in Super Bowl LIX?$0.00Jun 13, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saquon Barkley score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?$0.00Jun 13, 18:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $193.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 02:03 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 18:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".