Curvy-Radar
0x76746c04669cc925f9b26d569fd0d023ded98fbf
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
3560 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
3541 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
3500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
3460 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
3380 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
1100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-550.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
199 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-99.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
195 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-97.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.05Jan 15, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.00Nov 26, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$98.00Nov 11, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.50Nov 11, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$49.50Nov 11, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$8.89Nov 11, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$40.10Nov 11, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$16.0KNov 6, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$39.15Nov 6, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$8.0KNov 6, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$3.2KNov 6, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$3.3KNov 6, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$3.0KNov 6, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$35.00Nov 6, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.6KNov 6, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.6KNov 6, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$3.4KNov 6, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.4KNov 6, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$120.00Nov 6, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$1.1KNov 6, 02:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 03:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 06:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.