Quick-Witted-Glen
0x7676662b832c88f50fb62c93c805e4ed9247aef2
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-119.12
Realised
$-2.12
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 29?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on April 29?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 29?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 29?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 30?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 1?
201 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or higher on April 30?
89 shares @ 89.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 29?
70 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 29?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 1?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11AM ET$4.12May 3, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10AM ET$4.54May 3, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10AM ET$3.07May 3, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$3.03May 3, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.05May 3, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 3?$5.13May 2, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLNHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning $4.62May 2, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.47May 2, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.02May 2, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 3?$5.17May 2, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$4.73Apr 30, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$5.17Apr 30, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or higher on April 30?$80.41Apr 30, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 30?$1.04Apr 30, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on May 1?$1.05Apr 30, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 30?$1.04Apr 30, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 30?$1.05Apr 30, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on April 30?$2.35Apr 30, 05:43 UTC
- TRADESELLLos Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox$4.53Apr 29, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox$5.04Apr 29, 19:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $4.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 18:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 15:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.