Honored-Retrospectivity
0x7680ecd640b84bc0fdd07426a5def8f0f51e6881
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$9.00
Total PnL
$-11.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
54 shares @ 10.9¢·now 8.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.83
$-1.05
- NO
Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?
2 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.09
$0.09
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
5306 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.7K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
2660 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
2660 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
2660 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
2653 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
2653 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.89Mar 23, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$6.00Mar 23, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$5.99Feb 3, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$1.01Feb 3, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$1.03Feb 3, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?$1.04Feb 3, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$1.05Feb 3, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Machado by January 16?$1.06Feb 3, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?$1.07Feb 3, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Iraq by January 31?$1.08Feb 3, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMOdds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?$1.09Feb 3, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro mugshot released by January 16?$3.08Feb 3, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$3.12Feb 3, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMCongress authorizes military force against Venezuela by January 31?$10.00Feb 3, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$647.00Feb 3, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussian strike on a NATO member by March 31?$1.00Jan 12, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Machado by January 16?$1.00Jan 12, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$1.00Jan 12, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYCongress authorizes military force against Venezuela by January 31?$9.92Jan 12, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?$1.00Jan 12, 07:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $21.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 06:02 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 11:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".