Educated-Cement
0x768540de9b047736d6fcfccb78ebb6c4d06d3652
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire by Friday?
257 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Iran declare war on Israel by Friday?
254 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday?
242 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday?
151 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Trump approval >40% on July 1?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel invade Iran before July?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire before July?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 30?$1.00Jun 30, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $1.00Jun 24, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire before July? $1.00Jun 24, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLIranian coup attempt before July?$0.43Jun 24, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$0.47Jun 24, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Nuke in 2025?$1.00Jun 24, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before July?$0.60Jun 24, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Iran on June 22?$0.04Jun 24, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Iran on June 28?$2.47Jun 24, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Iran on June 30?$2.64Jun 24, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Iran on June 29?$0.85Jun 23, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel invade Iran before July?$1.00Jun 22, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval >40% on July 1?$1.00Jun 22, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$1.00Jun 22, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $0.78Jun 22, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Iran on June 27?$0.78Jun 22, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Iran on June 23?$1.38Jun 22, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Iran on June 26?$1.17Jun 22, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Iran on June 24?$1.55Jun 22, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Iran on June 25?$1.64Jun 22, 07:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 21:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 17:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.