Large-Bet
0x7689956401734f6330d59e2d5cafe1b43bf62949
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$17.98
Total PnL
$-41.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
7 shares @ 14.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$6.99
$5.99
- YES
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
4 shares @ 25.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.86
$2.86
- NO
GTA VI released before June 2026?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.57
$2.57
- NO
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$2.38
$1.38
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.07
$-0.93
- YES
Will Rachel Reeves leave Starner’s cabinet by July 15th?
212 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 137m?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Meta have the top AI model on July 31?
147 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?$3.00Jan 3, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 3, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$1.00Jan 3, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?$1.00Jan 3, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$1.00Jan 3, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$1.00Jan 3, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?$1.00Jan 3, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 3, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$1.00Jan 3, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?$1.09Jan 3, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMUS recession in 2025?$1.20Jan 3, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.30Jan 3, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$1.33Jan 3, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.35Jan 3, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump veto a bill in 2025?$6.25Jan 3, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?$16.67Jan 3, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by November 30?$1.00Nov 23, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?$1.00Nov 23, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on November 23?$1.00Nov 23, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leeds United win on 2025-11-23?$1.00Nov 23, 12:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 22:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 3, 17:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.