Biodegradable-Detainment
0x768bfbb89fa9a92764d75d8bc33d4deeac24de48
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-46.73
Realised
$-2.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
376 shares @ 93.1¢·now 84.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$315.76
$-34.24
- YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 78.5¢·now 72.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$290.00
$-24.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
600 shares @ 38.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$261.00
$33.00
- YES
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
190 shares @ 89.6¢·now 91.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$173.63
$3.63
- YES
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
167 shares @ 82.7¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$145.97
$7.97
- NO
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
65 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$61.61
$1.61
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
938 shares @ 3.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$19.24
$-10.76
- NO
Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 14, 2026?
9 shares @ 85.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$2.96
$-5.04
- YES
Will "Ice Cream Man" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
198 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$1.09
$-6.91
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?
538 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine target Moscow by August 14, 2026?$8.00Aug 8, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$60.00Aug 8, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$6.00Aug 6, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$10.00Aug 6, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?$7.69Aug 6, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$6.00Aug 6, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?$150.00Aug 5, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?$10.00Aug 5, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Ice Cream Man" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$8.38Aug 5, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$88.00Aug 5, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$100.00Aug 5, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$10.00Aug 5, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$10.00Aug 5, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$30.00Aug 5, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?$100.00Aug 5, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?$12.63Aug 5, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?$23.09Aug 5, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?$5.00Aug 5, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$74.00Aug 5, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$76.00Aug 5, 02:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $65.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 3, 03:07 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 8, 18:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.