Polite-Twins
0x768c9f385e4e0ca0a5d1b6d2d711801194b589a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.55
Total PnL
$-8.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 49.1¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.55
$-0.55
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 6AM ET
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- NO
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-03-21?
2 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- NO
Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki win on 2026-03-21?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- NO
Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-03-29?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- LSU TIGERS
Duke Blue Devils vs. LSU Tigers (W)
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- TIANJIN JINMEN HU FC
Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)
1 shares @ 89.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- NO
New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Christofer get engaged on Love is Blind: Sweden: Season 3?$1.11May 20, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMIllinois State Redbirds vs. Auburn Tigers$1.49May 20, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on April 1?$1.10Apr 2, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIllinois State Redbirds vs. Auburn Tigers$1.10Apr 2, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on April 1?$1.10Apr 2, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "War" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?$1.12Apr 2, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?$1.11Apr 2, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on April 1?$1.10Apr 2, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on April 1?$1.10Apr 2, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?$1.10Apr 1, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "War" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?$1.10Apr 1, 18:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the median home value in the DC Metro area be between $530,000 and $536,000 on April 1?$1.10Apr 1, 15:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the median home value in Miami be between $1,220,000 and $1,240,000 on April 1?$1.10Apr 1, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNatural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?$1.10Apr 1, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in Miami be between $1,220,000 and $1,240,000 on April 1?$1.10Apr 1, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the DC Metro area be between $530,000 and $536,000 on April 1?$1.10Apr 1, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?$1.10Apr 1, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill fewer than 5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?$1.12Apr 1, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$1.11Apr 1, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMMinneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?$1.11Apr 1, 08:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 19:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 10:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".