Expensive-Obesity
0x7694e0af0d79cb4cf15319b51468c62b53c92b66
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
91
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-151.8K
Realised
$-89.1K
Win rate
11%
85 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $115K on August 6?
42344 shares @ 34.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2025$0.00
$-14.6K
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3600 and $3700 on August 6?
14046 shares @ 45.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2025$0.00
$-6.4K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $118K on July 30?
8881 shares @ 54.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.8K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $117K on August 6?
7201 shares @ 36.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.6K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22?
6028 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-3.9K
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4600 August 18–24?
5000 shares @ 35.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4300 and $4400 on September 1?
4649 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $120K on July 30?
4112 shares @ 40.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $115K on August 4?
3420 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-334.90
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4500 and $4600 on September 1?
3277 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-648.83
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum above $4500 on September 1?$110.02Sep 2, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on September 1?$130.42Sep 2, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $4400 and $4500 on September 1?$246.68Sep 2, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $4500 and $4600 on September 1?$257.27Sep 2, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $200 and $210 on September 1?$286.65Sep 2, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on September 1?$326.00Sep 2, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on September 1?$353.00Sep 2, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $200 on September 1?$432.10Sep 2, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $4300 on September 1?$499.99Sep 2, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $210 and $220 on September 1?$505.00Sep 2, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $4300 and $4400 on September 1?$537.48Sep 2, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $108K on September 1?$551.01Sep 2, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $4400 on September 1?$612.74Sep 2, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $4200 on September 1?$958.75Sep 2, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110K and $112K on September 1?$1.3KSep 2, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $190 and $200 on September 1?$1.7KSep 2, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $108K and $110K on September 1?$1.7KSep 2, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $106K on September 1?$2.5KSep 2, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $190 on September 1?$2.5KSep 2, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $112K and $114K on September 1?$2.5KSep 2, 04:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
11% win rate over 85 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
85 closed markets, 11% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $200.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 1, 16:00 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 2, 04:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 85 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.