Ultimate-Spud
0x76b06ecba1d8989540f29c7d0b9f88930588338a
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$456.06
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the Vatican host Russia-Ukraine peace talks before September?
1532 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-289.05
- YES
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
682 shares @ 57.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-390.64
- YES
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?
652 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-157.36
- NO
Will Trump say "Tariff" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?
547 shares @ 54.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-296.57
- NO
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?
500 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-415.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
500 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-205.00
- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved by December 31?
417 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-38.18
- NO
Will Kamala Harris endorse Mamdani?
285 shares @ 65.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-185.74
- YES
Will Trump say "AUKUS" during Australia PM events on October 20?
280 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-201.27
- NO
Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
237 shares @ 69.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-163.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Denmark join the Board of Peace?$0.00Apr 3, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$0.00Apr 3, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark join the Board of Peace?$175.30Apr 3, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$600.00Apr 3, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMFact Check: is L.A. U-Haul attack perp a U.S. Citizen?$492.84Mar 1, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?$56.00Feb 12, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMIran Strike on Israel by January 15?$7.69Feb 1, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark join the Board of Peace?$164.78Jan 31, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$504.00Jan 31, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact Check: is L.A. U-Haul attack perp a U.S. Citizen?$2.81Jan 14, 06:57 UTC
- MERGEFact Check: is L.A. U-Haul attack perp a U.S. Citizen?$28.49Jan 14, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact Check: is L.A. U-Haul attack perp a U.S. Citizen?$15.10Jan 14, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Strike on Israel by January 15?$6.69Jan 13, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact Check: is L.A. U-Haul attack perp a U.S. Citizen?$14.66Jan 13, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact Check: is L.A. U-Haul attack perp a U.S. Citizen?$128.24Jan 13, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact Check: is L.A. U-Haul attack perp a U.S. Citizen?$3.16Jan 13, 05:39 UTC
- TRADESELLFact Check: is L.A. U-Haul attack perp a U.S. Citizen?$20.35Jan 13, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLFact Check: is L.A. U-Haul attack perp a U.S. Citizen?$4.07Jan 13, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLFact Check: is L.A. U-Haul attack perp a U.S. Citizen?$41.07Jan 13, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLFact Check: is L.A. U-Haul attack perp a U.S. Citizen?$11.40Jan 13, 05:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $37.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 22:38 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 3, 10:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".