Sore-Stepuncle
0x76b829f9dc293fff53be790fb19840d0670f6aa1
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
196
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.7K
Realised
$1.6K
Win rate
93%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 196- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
3308 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
2964 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-149.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
2738 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
2319 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
1609 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
1467 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
1386 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
1366 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
1343 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$90.57Jul 23, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$45.61Jul 23, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$13.70Jul 23, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$63.21Jul 23, 01:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$0.00Jul 23, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$76.12Jul 23, 01:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$137.27Jul 23, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$210.57Jul 23, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$59.96Jul 23, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$46.66Jul 23, 01:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$29.42Jul 23, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$106.28Jul 23, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$105.06Jul 23, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$105.15Jul 23, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$100.84Jul 23, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$105.38Jul 23, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$194.74Jul 23, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$104.27Jul 23, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$128.80Jul 23, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$104.99Jul 23, 01:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
93% win rate over 42 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
42 closed markets, 93% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $102.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 00:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 01:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.