Fussy-Transfer
0x76b8356b60b9bcac7458022c5f3c0337eeab4c9c
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$195.42
Win rate
54%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be less than 490m by August 31?
801 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$800.64
$9.22
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
524 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$523.74
$7.72
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
420 shares @ 95.3¢·now 94.3¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$396.46
$-4.01
- NO
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31?
296 shares @ 96.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$294.42
$9.05
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
280 shares @ 50.3¢·now 86.3¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$241.92
$100.77
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
280 shares @ 46.1¢·now 10.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$28.00
$-101.13
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 3?
20 shares @ 60.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$6.50
$-5.50
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 56 million views on day 3?
5 shares @ 87.1¢·now 36.6¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$1.83
$-2.52
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3200 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-48.00
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 3?$12.24Aug 11, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 3?$14.21Aug 11, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 3?$12.20Aug 11, 00:29 UTC
- REWARD$1.26Aug 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$18.62Aug 10, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 3?$3.21Aug 10, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 3?$20.00Aug 10, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 3?$60.38Aug 10, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 56 million views on day 3?$57.99Aug 10, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 3?$46.10Aug 10, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 3?$25.57Aug 10, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$2.11Aug 10, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$20.60Aug 10, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$2.01Aug 10, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$123.44Aug 10, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$42.29Aug 10, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be less than 490m by August 31?$866.74Aug 10, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$144.66Aug 10, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$23.12Aug 10, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$110.81Aug 10, 17:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
54% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $59.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 23:19 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 01:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.