Watchful-Outrigger
0x76bce9b95e913492ddd3fd078b46c89374bbec36
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$3.36
Total PnL
$-46.54
Realised
$-0.96
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
3 shares @ 94.9¢·now 94.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.40
$0.00
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.03
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 8?
3255 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.51
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 7?
1142 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-6.85
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 9?
1099 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 9?
1099 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 6?
1091 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 on May 31?
1091 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 23?
1074 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 31?
1071 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.07
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.37Jun 5, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,700 on May 31?$2.18Jun 1, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 23?$2.15May 24, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 14?$2.12May 15, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 9?$0.07May 10, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 9?$2.13May 10, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 9?$2.35May 10, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 6?$2.16May 7, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 6?$0.01May 7, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 3?$2.13May 3, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on April 30?$2.13Apr 30, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 on April 20?$2.14Apr 20, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on April 17?$1.1KApr 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on April 17?$1.1KApr 17, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 16?$1.1KApr 17, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 16?$1.1KApr 16, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 15?$1.1KApr 16, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 15?$1.1KApr 15, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 14?$1.1KApr 15, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 14?$1.1KApr 14, 06:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $305.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 09:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".