Known-Acceptance
0x76bded1b82908e53b4c378e9701f3a23af6afb7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$23.53
Total PnL
$3.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
9 shares @ 91.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$8.97
$0.74
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.94
$1.94
- NO
Macron out in 2025?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.49
$0.49
- NO
Will Magnus Carlsen apologize to Hans Niemann in 2025?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.13
$0.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$8.23Sep 17, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$5.23Sep 17, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron out in 2025?$5.00Sep 8, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5.00Aug 28, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen apologize to Hans Niemann in 2025?$2.00Aug 28, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$5.00Aug 28, 17:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $5.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 28, 17:44 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 17, 22:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".