0x76c61fe471aa0500b4c1ac6ef34e00e0f6cba612
0x76c61fe471aa0500b4c1ac6ef34e00e0f6cba612
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-60.17
Realised
$-3.21
Win rate
0%
52 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 23?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 23?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of June 29 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in June?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$2.00Aug 17, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$1.04Aug 17, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$1.04Aug 17, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$2.00Aug 17, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.04Aug 17, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.04Aug 17, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$2.00Aug 17, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$1.04Aug 17, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$1.04Aug 17, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$2.00Aug 17, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$1.04Aug 17, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$1.04Aug 17, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$2.00Aug 16, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$1.04Aug 16, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$1.04Aug 16, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$1.96Aug 16, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$1.04Aug 16, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$1.04Aug 16, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.96Aug 16, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.04Aug 16, 11:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 52 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 22/100.
52 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 07:16 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 15:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 52 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.