0x76c9902c18c8af308100c8e89ae5dd33a46d39aa
0x76c9902c18c8af308100c8e89ae5dd33a46d39aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$15.60
Total PnL
$-234.99
Realised
$-55.31
Win rate
4%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 2?
5 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$4.50
$1.62
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 20?
3 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$3.30
$0.33
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 20?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$3.00
$0.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 21?
4 shares @ 80.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$2.77
$-0.23
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on August 2?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$2.02
$0.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 19?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 21?
81 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 30?
46 shares @ 43.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.90
- FAJING SUN
Jiujiang: Coleman Wong vs Fajing Sun
44 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-7.06
- LILLI TAGGER
Saint-Malo: Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Tagger
40 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 21?$3.03Aug 20, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 20?$2.98Aug 20, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on August 19?$2.80Aug 19, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 19?$4.50Aug 19, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on August 19?$2.53Aug 19, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 20?$2.42Aug 19, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 19?$3.15Aug 19, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 20?$2.57Aug 19, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 19?$2.84Aug 19, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 18?$3.03Aug 18, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 18?$2.69Aug 17, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 11?$10.26Aug 9, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 9?$13.75Aug 9, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 9?$3.40Aug 9, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 9?$1.93Aug 9, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 10?$9.62Aug 9, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 8?$3.00Aug 8, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 8?$4.00Aug 8, 13:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 8?$4.00Aug 8, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 9?$10.04Aug 8, 12:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 26 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
26 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $3.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 3, 14:15 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 17:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.