Downright-Olive
0x76ce35763eba5311c0916f283b1561e44d16f48b
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.9K
Realised
$-124.03
Win rate
3%
199 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
44000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.00
$-44.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 9PM ET
2109 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-112.19
- UP
XRP Up or Down on May 19?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - July 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
1896 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-28.13
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 6PM ET
1790 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-134.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
1446 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.42
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
1401 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-130.24
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
1303 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-128.73
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
1292 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-53.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2PM ET
1266 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-102.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$0.00Aug 9, 13:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$0.00Aug 9, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$0.00Aug 9, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$0.00Aug 9, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.06Aug 9, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$0.00Aug 9, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.06Aug 9, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$1.07Aug 9, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$1.07Aug 9, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$1.07Aug 9, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9AM ET$1.07Aug 9, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.07Aug 9, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$0.26Aug 9, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$1.07Aug 9, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$0.00Aug 9, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$2.14Aug 9, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.07Aug 9, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.06Aug 9, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.06Aug 9, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.06Aug 9, 13:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 199 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
199 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 01:50 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 9, 13:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 199 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.