Rare-Membrane
0x76dd78ce40be088366db2e5336eabc7c91b5d6ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$28.37
Total PnL
$-504.12
Realised
$15.87
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
56 shares @ 89.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$28.37
$-21.63
- YES
US recession in 2025?
564 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-349.86
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
455 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2025?
113 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Gavin Newsom arrested by Friday?
111 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
86 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: June
78 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
19 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?$11.24Sep 17, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$19.61Sep 17, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$8.00Jul 5, 21:34 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?$8.22Jul 5, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?$8.00Jun 12, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?$10.00Jun 11, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$10.00Jun 10, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Epstein" by Monday?$11.90Jun 10, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYGavin Newsom arrested by Friday?$3.00Jun 9, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: June$50.00Jun 6, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Epstein" by Monday?$10.00Jun 6, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$50.00Jun 6, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$101.01May 8, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sovereignty win the Preakness Stakes$2.50May 7, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$10.00May 7, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$35.87May 6, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$10.00May 6, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?$5.00May 6, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$20.00May 6, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 8% in 2025?$10.00May 3, 00:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $41.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 18:00 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 17, 17:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.