Thirsty-Monotheism
0x76df115975c50f10223f1693a191fdf0f312b610
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$121.99
Total PnL
$-161.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 23?
128 shares @ 97.5¢·now 95.1¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$121.99
$-3.08
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on March 28?
157 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 2 above $5.50?
147 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.33
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 8?
115 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.84
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 16?
103 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- NO
Will XRP dip to $1.90 January 12-18?
101 shares @ 98.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-98.87
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on February 6?
81 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.39
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 24?
80 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.12
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 18?
71 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.77
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.80 January 19-25?
71 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 23?$125.07Jul 23, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 16?$3.96Jul 16, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 3?$111.67Jul 3, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 3?$109.88Jul 2, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 1?$132.27Jun 1, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 1?$128.30May 31, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 24?$121.72May 24, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 24?$118.92May 23, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Madz win the Legend Trade Series?$21.43May 16, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 9?$100.74May 9, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 9?$0.15May 8, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 9?$98.88May 8, 19:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 29?$24.10May 8, 19:42 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - April 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$85.24May 2, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 14?$0.00Apr 25, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Madz win the Legend Trade Series?$20.14Apr 15, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$83.45Apr 15, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 14?$2.61Apr 14, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$107.56Apr 14, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on January 23?$0.00Mar 31, 05:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $32.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 08:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.