Last-Earring
0x7706774910ecb824cedf519a92eb705ab0be5b5b
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
56
Open notional
$1.04
Total PnL
$-335.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?
16 shares @ 6.4¢·now 2.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.43
$-0.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C or below on May 5?
7478 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-11.99
- NO
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
3045 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-52.01
- YES
Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
558 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-15.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on May 3?
269 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on May 8?
250 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or below on May 13?
91 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$54.05Jul 1, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Cavaliers$23.01May 23, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 23?$5.75May 23, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 23?$4.17May 23, 19:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on May 23?$3.75May 23, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 23?$4.84May 23, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on May 23?$3.03May 22, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 23?$3.06May 22, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 23?$3.04May 22, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 23?$3.07May 22, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?$3.04May 22, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 22?$6.13May 22, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 22?$5.05May 21, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 22?$5.11May 21, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$8.89May 19, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$3.90May 19, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 18?$7.00May 17, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 18?$4.09May 17, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 16?$4.54May 16, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 16?$4.92May 16, 20:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $4.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 08:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 10:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.