Tough-Compassionate
0x77200636e2b4fb533ab97b26ea86772850e1da92
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-6.1K
Realised
$-2.4K
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
3200 shares @ 17.5¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$1.4K
$800.67
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
348 shares @ 28.7¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$60.97
$-39.04
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24086 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$60.22
$-771.73
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
328 shares @ 17.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.14
$-24.58
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?
76 shares @ 8.2¢·now 4.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.53
$-2.67
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
23017 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-254.73
- TULANE
Tulane vs. Ole Miss
9378 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-525.91
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
4057 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-330.49
- YES
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?
3808 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-184.37
- TEXAS A&M
Miami vs. Texas A&M
2289 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-435.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$82.50Apr 16, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$150.00Apr 16, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$147.70Apr 16, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.80Apr 9, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.34Apr 9, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.38Apr 9, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.54Apr 9, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.78Apr 9, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.11Apr 9, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.58Apr 9, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.50Apr 9, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.65Apr 9, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.20Apr 9, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.41Apr 9, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.58Apr 9, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.84Apr 9, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.20Apr 9, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.71Apr 9, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$2.40Apr 9, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$43.53Apr 9, 06:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $17.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 05:27 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 00:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.