0x772bd4da07648493854a13934bd13765652eab83
0x772bd4da07648493854a13934bd13765652eab83
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
174
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-17.68
Win rate
8%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 174- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
240 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-15.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on April 6?
187 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
91 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-48.91
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
70 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-43.41
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
69 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-35.19
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
67 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.88
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
55 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-18.15
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
55 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-41.45
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
53 shares @ 31.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-16.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
53 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-19.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 19?$1.56Apr 19, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 19?$0.17Apr 19, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 19?$0.43Apr 19, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 71°F or below on April 19?$2.35Apr 19, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 18?$4.87Apr 18, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 18?$2.40Apr 18, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 19?$0.09Apr 18, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on April 18?$1.96Apr 18, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 17?$3.93Apr 17, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 18?$1.74Apr 17, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on April 18?$1.82Apr 17, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C or below on April 16?$0.00Apr 17, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 17?$1.80Apr 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 17?$1.92Apr 17, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 15?$4.85Apr 16, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 16?$3.10Apr 16, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 16?$1.82Apr 16, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 16?$2.00Apr 16, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C or below on April 16?$2.55Apr 16, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 15?$3.58Apr 15, 20:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
8% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 20:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 00:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.