Elliptical-Bladder
0x773dca4a3e6889eab7bc8dc8dff62170e7017ff8
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$5.49
Total PnL
$-3.90
Realised
$-1.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on May 2?
27 shares @ 11.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$4.64
$1.64
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 56°F or higher on May 2?
133 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.6¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.80
$-1.73
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 6°C or below on April 30?
103 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.05
$-1.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on April 30?$0.003h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on May 2?$0.024h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on May 2?$0.234h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be 56°F or higher on May 2?$0.074h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 56°F or higher on May 2?$1.464h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 56°F or higher on May 2?$0.974h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 56°F or higher on May 2?$0.504h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 56°F or higher on May 2?$0.104h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on May 2?$0.554h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on May 2?$1.104h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on May 2?$1.104h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 2?$0.924h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 2?$1.264h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 1?$3.665h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 1?$0.275h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on April 30?$0.056h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on April 30?$0.266h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on April 30?$0.056h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on April 30?$0.266h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on April 30?$0.016h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 6h ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".