Fearless-Share
0x774ddaee409abeefebc924b3c67a0f7dea5c8b08
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-14.94
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C or below on May 9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
600 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
525 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
517 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-9.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
516 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
506 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.71
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
443 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-19.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
402 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-13.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
353 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-14.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
333 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-11.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$1.68Jun 27, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$2.13Jun 27, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$10.00Jun 27, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$3.62Jun 27, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$2.74Jun 27, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$0.05Jun 12, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$0.05Jun 12, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$0.05Jun 11, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$0.65Jun 11, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$0.05Jun 11, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$0.80Jun 11, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$1.10Jun 11, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$1.40Jun 11, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$0.20Jun 11, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$0.38Jun 11, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$0.22Jun 11, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$1.15Jun 11, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$1.30Jun 11, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$0.49Jun 11, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$1.00Jun 11, 04:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 00:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 11:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.