Cumbersome-Automation
0x774fc3ca45995891f772d3a195ccb48128142eb6
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.95
Total PnL
$-44.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
2 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.95
$0.45
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 14-20?
2087 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-18.57
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on April 19?
1026 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
151 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Colombia" this week? (January 11)
28 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on April 19?$7.00Apr 20, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 14-20?$20.00Apr 20, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?$1.50Jan 7, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$5.00Jan 6, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$5.00Jan 6, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBody-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?$5.00Jan 6, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Colombia" this week? (January 11)$5.00Jan 6, 19:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $6.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 19:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 01:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.