Unruly-Button
0x77500a1651826ef61b2dde9d666851f13179324d
Quality score
100/100
Open positions
33
Open notional
$531.17
Total PnL
$-27.90
Realised
$50.28
Win rate
92%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
260 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.90
$1.30
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
40 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$39.90
$0.78
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
80 shares @ 36.7¢·now 39.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$31.56
$2.20
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
100 shares @ 40.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.50
$-9.50
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
60 shares @ 53.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$30.30
$-1.50
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
100 shares @ 26.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$24.50
$-1.50
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 70.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.15
$3.15
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
40 shares @ 68.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.20
$-4.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
90 shares @ 34.7¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.95
$-8.25
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.00
$1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$40.0056m ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$17.502h ago
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation increase by 3.9% in April?$8.2010h ago
- YIELD$0.0117h ago
- REWARD$0.1717h ago
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$8.0019h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$18.0020h ago
- TRADESELLHailey Bieber pregnant in 2026?$0.3821h ago
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$20.8021h ago
- TRADESELLElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$30.001d ago
- TRADESELLGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$0.371d ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$4.101d ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$12.961d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$30.001d ago
- TRADESELLGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$4.311d ago
- TRADESELLGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$8.541d ago
- TRADESELLGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$17.701d ago
- YIELD$0.012d ago
- REWARD$0.112d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$7.122d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $9.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 6d ago
- Last active
- 56m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.