Frivolous-Insurance
0x77586afad036c798693ef241780a3a48d22a42a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-25.1K
Realised
$627.09
Win rate
80%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
1205 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-153.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
1162 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-347.53
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
1058 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-346.37
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
904 shares @ 55.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-503.41
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
874 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-286.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
864 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-385.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
864 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-146.67
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
801 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-49.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
800 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-256.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
800 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$18.53Jun 24, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$8.32Jun 24, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$4.22Jun 24, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$6.28Jun 24, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$13.51Jun 24, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$7.40Jun 24, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$9.32Jun 24, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$8.39Jun 24, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$20.74Jun 24, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$30.00Jun 24, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$17.71Jun 24, 00:12 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.30Jun 24, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$5.32Jun 24, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$9.46Jun 24, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$10.53Jun 24, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$30.91Jun 23, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$20.77Jun 23, 23:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$27.41Jun 23, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$7.30Jun 23, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$9.25Jun 23, 23:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $17.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 19:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 02:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.