Minor-Zither
0x775de75728d86e2a7ba736248201516d7be8188d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.8K
Realised
$285.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?
44323 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
11624 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-651.23
- YES
Will Bryce Mitchell be named StopAntisemitism's 2025 Antisemite of the Year?
11520 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- NO
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?
8219 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-961.88
- YES
Will Donald Trump be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
7419 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-414.03
- YES
Will Charlie Kirk be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
6700 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-314.90
- NO
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?
4917 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-82.26
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
4800 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-383.09
- NO
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 16, 2026?
4000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?$43.00Mar 25, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?$0.00Mar 24, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?$398.71Mar 24, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?$374.61Mar 24, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?$1.60Mar 24, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?$3.13Mar 24, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?$340.00Mar 23, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?$35.28Mar 23, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?$71.54Mar 23, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?$16.92Mar 23, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?$102.40Mar 23, 20:52 UTC
- REWARD$0.03Mar 18, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.20Mar 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?$129.83Mar 17, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?$3.53Mar 17, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?$14.50Mar 17, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?$2.88Mar 17, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?$309.79Mar 17, 04:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?$29.37Mar 17, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?$6.00Mar 17, 04:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $60.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 20:21 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 19:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.