Friendly-Notoriety
0x775de9e1b721fb997b162c7eec63ff75da21252a
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
111
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-955.58
Realised
$15.06
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 111- UNDER
Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 5.5
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7AM ET
909 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-99.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 6PM ET
895 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-58.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12AM ET
800 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-94.33
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
256 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
176 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-154.44
- YES
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2025-12-03?
159 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-152.97
- YES
Will CA Sarmiento vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will FC Juárez vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?
100 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-15.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$1.07Jul 22, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$1.05Jul 22, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$21.05Jul 22, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$20.07Jul 22, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.05Jul 22, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$10.42Jul 22, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$10.03Jul 22, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.04Jul 22, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$11.11Jul 22, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$10.07Jul 22, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.06Jul 22, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$1.03Jul 22, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$10.42Jul 22, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$10.03Jul 22, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$10.31Jul 22, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$1.89Jul 22, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$51.60Jul 22, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$1.03Jul 22, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMDeportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: 1st Half O/U 2.5$1.19Jul 22, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMDeportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to Score$1.75Jul 22, 07:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $9.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 19:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 12:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.