0x77775966f9a93218fef6cd0975e975b8803567f0
0x77775966f9a93218fef6cd0975e975b8803567f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-27.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 30?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?
1420 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- TALIA GIBSON
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Talia Gibson vs Madison Keys
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
536 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
120 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 30?$1.05Jun 30, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 30?$1.05Jun 30, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 30?$1.05Jun 30, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?$1.05Jun 29, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$1.05Jun 28, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$1.05Jun 28, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$1.01Jun 26, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?$1.03Jun 26, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$2.02Jun 26, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$3.03Jun 26, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $2.02Jun 25, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.96Jun 25, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden win on 2026-06-25?$1.05Jun 25, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?$2.02Jun 25, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.04Jun 25, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?$5.05Jun 25, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?$1.01Jun 25, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-24?$2.67Jun 25, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$3.77Jun 25, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$2.05Jun 24, 21:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 08:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 17:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.