Rotating-Festival
0x777d4e35065d1cf87779ee9c1fcac44ca03832e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-723.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$19.98Jul 28, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$10.54Jul 12, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$10.46Jun 2, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$2.95Apr 26, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the VA-04 House seat?$4.55Apr 26, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.82Apr 26, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.83Apr 18, 06:27 UTC
- REWARD$1.07Apr 16, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scream 7 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$1.01Apr 15, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$3.25Mar 24, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the VA-04 House seat?$4.55Feb 28, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMMaple Leafs vs. Lightning$22.99Feb 28, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaple Leafs vs. Lightning$15.40Feb 14, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?$15.39Feb 14, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?$9.85Jan 21, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scream 7 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$1.00Dec 7, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$10.85Dec 7, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$10.84Nov 8, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$713.87Oct 30, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.22Sep 26, 04:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
2/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $30.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 03:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 12:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.