Dead-Alcove
0x7782bb8d268f0f7720d5e6d33e705b95ca1735d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$5.00
Total PnL
$-7.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Gavin Newsom out as California Governor in 2025?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.00
$0.40
- YES
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
10040 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.04
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on December 11?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Chelsea vs. Tottenham end in a draw?
10000 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.2K
- YES
Will Manchester City vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?
9996 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- NO
Will Costa Rica vs. Haiti end in a draw?
4444 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.2K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on November 5?
2500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on November 5?
1271 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.27
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
20 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
6 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.44
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.80May 20, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.10May 20, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.11May 19, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.04Mar 7, 06:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jan 30, 00:35 UTC
- MERGEWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$11.0KJan 29, 00:56 UTC
- YIELD$1.11Jan 29, 00:48 UTC
- SPLITWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$11.0KJan 28, 01:49 UTC
- REWARD$1.00Dec 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$433.04Dec 17, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$466.35Dec 17, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$456.00Dec 17, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$474.00Dec 12, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLIs Earth flat?$103.58Dec 11, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on December 11?$10.00Dec 11, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on November 5?$2.50Nov 5, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on November 5?$1.27Nov 5, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Costa Rica vs. Haiti end in a draw?$3.2KSep 9, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMLiverpool wins the Premier League?$10.00Aug 3, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMDodgers vs. Rays$2.3KAug 3, 05:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $705.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 01:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 00:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".