Nutty-Spawn
0x778cdc967da5c444e918f52a07d4b4eff714b268
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-79.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on January 13?
277 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.71
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 4?
276 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.97
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.30 on January 9?
272 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.36
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 8?
272 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.36
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 January 5-11?
270 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.36
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 3?
267 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.87
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,400 on January 7?
263 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.84
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on January 15?
263 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 8?
262 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.31
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 12?
260 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.19
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 2?$79.58Jul 2, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 2?$77.67Jul 2, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 31?$2.29May 31, 01:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 30?$85.75May 30, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 30?$82.32May 29, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 22?$90.61May 22, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 22?$87.80May 22, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 14?$79.54May 14, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 14?$0.10May 13, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 14?$78.01May 13, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 10?$1.96May 9, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 13?$22.46May 7, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMArthur_0x mindshare all time high by March 31?$74.01Apr 30, 19:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $2.10 and $2.20 on January 12?$0.00Apr 20, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 13?$19.54Apr 13, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $57.50 Week of April 6 2026?$2.57Apr 10, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 14?$0.00Apr 10, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYArthur_0x mindshare all time high by March 31?$72.60Mar 31, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $PENGUIN reach $200M in Q1?$2.08Mar 31, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $130 on January 12?$0.00Mar 31, 08:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $24.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 05:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 16:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.