Muddy-Pamphlet
0x77913ca2d6733d920139c53d29c796b62535d121
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-8.99
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
2725 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-38.47
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
817 shares @ 49.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-401.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 37-38°F on December 9?
441 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-20.51
- YES
Will KPop Demon Hunters be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
435 shares @ 80.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-350.00
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?
362 shares @ 79.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-287.55
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on December 4?
255 shares @ 98.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on December 10?
224 shares @ 75.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-170.00
- YES
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?
177 shares @ 84.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 15?
145 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?
111 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?$13.16Feb 17, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 42°F or higher on December 22?$50.00Feb 17, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$51.28Feb 17, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$52.45Feb 17, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$103.31Feb 17, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 38°F or higher on December 20?$104.12Feb 17, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$205.97Feb 17, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 42°F or higher on December 22?$45.00Dec 22, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$100.00Dec 22, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$200.00Dec 20, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 38°F or higher on December 20?$100.00Dec 20, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$12.66Dec 20, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$18.20Dec 20, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill 2025 Wrapped be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 12?$20.00Dec 20, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 39-40°F on December 12?$50.00Dec 20, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brian Armstrong say "Bitcoin" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?$58.62Dec 20, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on December 13?$103.30Dec 20, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on December 11?$108.80Dec 20, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on December 10?$304.88Dec 20, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on December 14?$1.60Dec 14, 05:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $44.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 03:55 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 11:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".