True-Catastrophe
0x7794bfdc5a8ad08f8a6c16276ad08385c42f52e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$43.35
Total PnL
$-312.98
Realised
$11.45
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
43 shares @ 46.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$43.35
$23.35
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score
175 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- PARIS SAINT-GERMAIN FC
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
147 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?
138 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026?$0.43Feb 10, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$5.79Feb 8, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026?$100.00Feb 8, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$100.00Feb 8, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$20.00Feb 5, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$20.00Feb 5, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?$145.09Feb 5, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?$67.00Feb 5, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Score$50.00Jan 25, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?$50.00Jan 25, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?$5.00Jan 25, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?$5.00Jan 25, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMFC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score$94.34Jan 25, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)$94.34Jan 25, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$10.00Jan 22, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$31.45Jan 22, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$20.00Jan 22, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$5.00Jan 22, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$10.00Jan 22, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)$50.00Jan 21, 14:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $54.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 13:58 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 10, 11:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.