Improbable-Context
0x779d372485033440a2855970d9ef9dae56f3c3b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?
75294 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Will any other candidate win the Romanian presidential election?
30556 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-99.98
- YES
Will another candidate win?
29988 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-60.97
- YES
Will George Simion win by 12–18%?
7000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will George Simion win by 6–12%?
5845 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-551.79
- YES
Will George Simion win by 0–6%?
5627 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-748.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win?$4.00May 21, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win?$30.00May 20, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win?$2.00May 20, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win?$10.00May 20, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win by 0–6%?$6.90May 20, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win?$15.00May 20, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win by 0–6%?$44.00May 18, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win by 6–12%?$50.00May 18, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win by 12–18%?$35.00May 18, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$4.1KMay 18, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win by 6–12%?$501.80May 17, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win by 0–6%?$698.00May 15, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?$100.00May 9, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$1.9KMay 8, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$1.9KMay 8, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other candidate win the Romanian presidential election?$100.00May 8, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$2.0KMay 8, 20:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $681.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 20:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 06:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.