Shy-Homework
0x77a2d1ef0068944e8014f391ef3d859270f3bef8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-36.26
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
13142 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-36.89
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
10900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-22.33
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
8080 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-242.55
- YES
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Australian Open?
7328 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-42.32
- YES
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Australian Open?
7064 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-70.02
- YES
Will Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
5902 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-34.87
- YES
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Australian Open?
5770 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-39.92
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
5769 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-69.99
- YES
Will Austria win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
2700 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-8.98
- YES
Will Austria win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$4.55Mar 17, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.00Mar 17, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.00Mar 17, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$3.90Mar 9, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Mar 9, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$15.00Mar 8, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$20.00Mar 8, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Mar 8, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$15.00Mar 8, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLKurds declare independence from Iran?$73.90Mar 8, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKurds declare independence from Iran?$98.00Mar 6, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.00Mar 4, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.00Mar 4, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Mar 4, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Mar 4, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$47.62Mar 4, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$10.00Feb 23, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$8.00Feb 23, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$2.00Feb 23, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.00Feb 23, 23:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $9.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 09:28 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 05:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.